It is All About East Texas

It’s the day before the Texas and Ohio primaries and both states — Texas in particular — are too close to call.

The latest poll from MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon has the race in Texas essentially tied with Barrack Obama up by one point (46%-45%).   Meanwhile, the Cleveland Plain Dealer/Mason-Dixon poll has Clinton leading by four points in Ohio, 47%-43%. Other polls show Clinton with a larger lead in the state.

 

If Obama wins Texas it is truly over.  He is dominating in the large markets (like Houston and Dallas) as well as in central Texas (Austin).  Clinton is strongest in the south and the north.  It really comes down to east Texas as the swing part of the state.  Our sense is that it will swing to Obama. 

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