Economic Downturn Benefits the Democrats
The economy and politics are intrinsically tied together. It’s no secret that we are either in—or headed into—a recession. Consumer confidence is trending downward. The media coverage of negative economic news has been at an almost full saturation level for nearly 6 months. Two stories in today’s NYT—“Oil tops Inflation Adjusted Record Set in 1980″ and “Vehicle Sales Fell by 10% Last Month”—continue the trend.
This economic news is going to help the Democrats; it will help both their nominee and their congressional slate. When the economy is bad, voters want change. Bush and the Republicans (even though they are in the minority in Congress) are viewed primarily as the custodians of this economy. Unless, of course, this is mitigated by national security issues or some external event, the economy will be by far the most important issue in this election.
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